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Red42
562417.7
218017.7
549012.1
Blue78
139125.3
108921.4
27222.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5571203040506080901004278

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5624
#22
17.70.7
19.418.7
Auto4.3
Teleop9.4
End4.1
blue by 7.6
25.30.7
23.524.2
Auto4.8
Teleop13.6
End6.9
Second
2180
#29
17.70.7
19.518.8
Auto4.7
Teleop9.2
End3.7
blue by 5.0
272
#19
22.60.7
22.923.6
Auto3.6
Teleop13.3
End5.7
Third
5490
#25
12.10.7
13.512.8
Auto2.8
Teleop6.8
End2.5
blue by 9.3
1089
#14
21.40.7
21.221.9
Auto5.1
Teleop11.6
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
37%HAB Docking oddsMissed69%HAB Docking oddsEarned