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Red40
31622.2
8712.5
78779.7
Blue61
457320.7
55516.0
21920.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49602040801004061

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#16
22.20.4
23.022.6
Auto5.7
Teleop13.6
End2.9
red by 1.5
4573
#23
20.70.3
20.220.5
Auto5.0
Teleop11.0
End4.7
Second
87
#30
12.50.4
12.912.5
Auto4.7
Teleop5.2
End2.6
blue by 8.2
219
#18
20.70.3
20.821.1
Auto4.3
Teleop11.0
End5.4
Third
7877
#27
9.70.4
10.19.7
Auto3.7
Teleop3.6
End2.4
blue by 6.3
555
#15
16.00.3
15.716.0
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed61%HAB Docking oddsMissed