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Red46
395422.4
170822.5
574014.1
Blue65
33719.6
11721.1
414514.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63593040507080904665

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.50.3
22.822.5
Auto4.7
Teleop12.5
End5.3
red by 1.3
117
#10
21.10.0
21.121.1
Auto3.8
Teleop11.7
End5.6
Second
22.40.4
22.822.4
Auto5.2
Teleop9.6
End7.6
red by 2.8
337
#16
19.60.0
19.619.6
Auto5.0
Teleop9.8
End4.8
Third
5740
#36
14.10.3
14.414.1
Auto3.4
Teleop7.7
End3.0
blue by 0.8
4145
#19
14.90.0
14.814.8
Auto5.0
Teleop6.7
End3.1