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Red36
478018.5
751511.2
767012.2
Blue65
205319.8
405017.2
170822.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31460204060803665

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4780
#23
18.50.8
11.712.5
Auto4.4
Teleop11.2
End2.9
blue by 4.0
22.51.7
17.419.2
Auto4.7
Teleop12.5
End5.3
Second
7670
#31
12.20.8
8.29.0
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End2.9
blue by 7.5
19.82.4
12.214.6
Auto4.0
Teleop9.7
End6.1
Third
7515
#44
11.20.8
9.09.8
Auto3.7
Teleop3.6
End3.9
blue by 6.0
4050
#42
17.22.4
14.016.3
Auto4.7
Teleop9.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed37%HAB Docking oddsEarned