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Red60
350421.8
581121.8
405017.2
Blue65
454710.3
265615.1
332432.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6255203040507080901006065

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5811
#14
21.80.1
18.518.6
Auto4.2
Teleop14.6
End3.0
blue by 10.8
32.60.0
28.428.4
Auto3.9
Teleop23.2
End5.5
Second
21.80.1
23.623.7
Auto3.9
Teleop8.7
End9.1
red by 6.7
2656
#29
15.10.0
15.015.1
Auto5.0
Teleop8.6
End1.4
Third
4050
#42
17.20.2
16.316.5
Auto4.7
Teleop9.8
End2.8
red by 6.9
4547
#40
10.30.0
8.48.4
Auto4.6
Teleop3.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
54%HAB Docking oddsEarned34%HAB Docking oddsMissed