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Red41
17437.7
326017.3
727419.6
Blue42
446714.9
414514.9
751511.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4240203050604142

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7274
#13
19.60.1
18.218.3
Auto4.3
Teleop11.7
End3.6
red by 4.8
4467
#27
14.90.3
15.015.3
Auto4.8
Teleop7.7
End2.4
Second
3260
#41
17.30.1
13.013.1
Auto4.9
Teleop9.7
End2.7
red by 2.5
4145
#19
14.90.3
13.213.5
Auto5.0
Teleop6.7
End3.1
Third
1743
#45
7.70.1
8.88.9
Auto2.1
Teleop3.8
End1.7
blue by 3.6
7515
#44
11.20.5
9.710.1
Auto3.7
Teleop3.6
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsMissed9%HAB Docking oddsMissed