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Red55
14425.5
205319.8
426917.1
Blue70
350421.8
395422.4
584214.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57592040801005570

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144
#22
25.50.1
23.623.7
Auto5.5
Teleop16.2
End3.8
red by 3.1
22.40.5
18.919.4
Auto5.2
Teleop9.6
End7.6
Second
19.80.1
13.513.6
Auto4.0
Teleop9.7
End6.1
blue by 2.0
21.80.3
23.724.0
Auto3.9
Teleop8.7
End9.1
Third
4269
#35
17.10.1
16.916.9
Auto4.8
Teleop10.4
End1.8
red by 2.7
5842
#25
14.40.3
13.113.4
Auto4.2
Teleop7.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed78%HAB Docking oddsEarned