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Red40
414514.9
326017.3
265615.1
Blue38
574014.1
415024.1
584214.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45512030406070804038

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3260
#41
17.30.3
13.112.8
Auto4.9
Teleop9.7
End2.7
blue by 6.8
4150
#21
24.10.7
21.520.8
Auto3.7
Teleop16.1
End4.4
Second
2656
#29
15.10.3
15.915.6
Auto5.0
Teleop8.6
End1.4
red by 0.7
5842
#25
14.40.7
13.412.7
Auto4.2
Teleop7.3
End2.9
Third
4145
#19
14.90.2
13.513.4
Auto5.0
Teleop6.7
End3.1
red by 0.8
5740
#36
14.10.7
13.412.7
Auto3.4
Teleop7.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsMissed