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Red57
581121.8
426917.1
265615.1
Blue77
402721.7
170822.5
446714.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions566030405070805777

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5811
#14
21.80.3
19.920.2
Auto4.2
Teleop14.6
End3.0
blue by 0.7
22.50.0
21.521.5
Auto4.7
Teleop12.5
End5.3
Second
4269
#35DQ
17.10.3
17.217.5
Auto4.8
Teleop10.4
End1.8
blue by 4.6
4027
#26
21.70.0
20.020.0
Auto2.7
Teleop12.3
End6.7
Third
2656
#29
15.10.5
15.616.1
Auto5.0
Teleop8.6
End1.4
red by 0.2
4467
#27
14.90.0
15.515.5
Auto4.8
Teleop7.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed56%HAB Docking oddsEarned