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Red47
170822.5
17437.7
306216.4
Blue53
29113.1
408515.8
205319.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5150304060704753

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.50.7
21.520.8
Auto4.7
Teleop12.5
End5.3
red by 2.7
19.80.3
16.717.1
Auto4.0
Teleop9.7
End6.1
Second
3062
#39
16.41.1
16.515.4
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End2.7
red by 0.6
4085
#20
15.80.3
16.717.0
Auto4.3
Teleop6.9
End4.6
Third
1743
#45
7.71.1
10.08.9
Auto2.1
Teleop3.8
End1.7
blue by 5.4
291
#12
13.10.3
13.614.0
Auto3.2
Teleop4.7
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed62%HAB Docking oddsEarned