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Red53
584214.4
205319.8
767012.2
Blue53
499115.1
446714.9
15619.9
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions485310203040607080905353

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.8
Auto4.0
Teleop9.7
End6.1
blue by 0.2
156
#37
19.9
Auto4.7
Teleop11.7
End3.6
Second
5842
#25
14.4
Auto4.2
Teleop7.3
End2.9
blue by 0.8
4991
#34
15.1
Auto4.1
Teleop10.3
End0.7
Third
7670
#31
12.2
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End2.9
blue by 2.6
4467
#27
14.9
Auto4.8
Teleop7.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
37%HAB Docking oddsEarned10%HAB Docking oddsMissed