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Red49
306216.4
574014.1
478018.5
Blue47
395715.4
264118.6
350421.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions526330407080904947

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4780
#23
18.50.1
18.518.5
Auto4.4
Teleop11.2
End2.9
blue by 3.3
21.80.8
23.222.4
Auto3.9
Teleop8.7
End9.1
Second
3062
#39
16.40.1
16.516.4
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End2.7
blue by 2.2
2641
#11
18.61.2
19.718.5
Auto5.2
Teleop7.7
End5.6
Third
5740
#36
14.10.0
14.614.6
Auto3.4
Teleop7.7
End3.0
blue by 1.3
3957
#18
15.41.2
16.615.4
Auto4.2
Teleop7.7
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed86%HAB Docking oddsEarned