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Red76
31919.7
622621.7
81611.9
Blue51
121817.2
397417.8
139116.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions525430406070807651

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.5
20.521.0
Auto3.5
Teleop10.2
End8.0
red by 3.9
17.80.1
17.917.8
Auto4.2
Teleop5.6
End8.0
Second
319
#13
19.70.5
18.519.0
Auto3.7
Teleop12.5
End3.5
red by 2.5
1218
#10
17.20.1
17.317.2
Auto4.7
Teleop8.7
End3.8
Third
816
#30
11.90.5
10.711.2
Auto2.7
Teleop5.4
End3.8
blue by 4.1
1391
#22
16.00.1
16.116.0
Auto3.0
Teleop8.7
End4.3