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Red23
589524.1
209510.6
545713.0
Blue43
139116.0
260719.5
121817.2
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43503040602343

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.11.9
16.614.6
Auto4.8
Teleop14.1
End5.2
red by 4.6
2607
#15
19.50.5
15.515.0
Auto5.4
Teleop10.1
End4.1
Second
5457
#23
13.01.9
12.110.2
Auto3.1
Teleop7.6
End2.3
blue by 4.2
1218
#10
17.20.5
15.314.9
Auto4.7
Teleop8.7
End3.8
Third
2095
#33
10.61.9
11.99.9
Auto2.8
Teleop4.6
End3.2
blue by 5.4
1391
#22
16.00.5
16.315.8
Auto3.0
Teleop8.7
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed32%HAB Docking oddsMissed