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Red34
260719.5
29311.0
680811.9
Blue44
31919.7
428513.8
566611.8
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37442030405060703444

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2607
#15
19.50.1
16.416.3
Auto5.4
Teleop10.1
End4.1
blue by 0.2
319
#13
19.70.8
18.918.1
Auto3.7
Teleop12.5
End3.5
Second
6808
#29
11.90.1
8.58.4
Auto2.9
Teleop5.8
End3.2
blue by 1.9
4285
#18
13.80.8
12.812.0
Auto5.1
Teleop6.3
End2.4
Third
293
#35
11.00.1
10.09.9
Auto3.6
Teleop5.0
End2.4
blue by 0.7
5666
#12
11.80.8
10.39.5
Auto4.5
Teleop5.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed33%HAB Docking oddsMissed