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Red59
445416.9
20318.9
209510.6
Blue41
428513.8
568420.4
692110.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363820304050605941

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203
#14
18.92.1
15.517.6
Auto5.0
Teleop10.7
End3.2
blue by 1.6
5684
#16
20.40.3
16.016.2
Auto3.6
Teleop13.1
End3.8
Second
16.92.1
11.813.9
Auto4.3
Teleop7.3
End5.3
red by 3.1
4285
#18
13.80.3
11.411.7
Auto5.1
Teleop6.3
End2.4
Third
2095
#33
10.62.1
6.78.8
Auto2.8
Teleop4.6
End3.2
red by 0.2
6921
#28
10.50.3
8.28.4
Auto2.7
Teleop6.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsEarned15%HAB Docking oddsMissed