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Red40
392911.8
81611.9
622621.7
Blue47
24589.1
260719.5
253922.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444435404550554047

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.2
18.718.5
Auto3.5
Teleop10.2
End8.0
blue by 0.4
22.10.6
19.019.6
Auto3.7
Teleop10.0
End8.4
Second
816
#30
11.90.2
12.412.2
Auto2.7
Teleop5.4
End3.8
blue by 7.7
2607
#15
19.50.6
17.217.8
Auto5.4
Teleop10.1
End4.1
Third
3929
#31
11.80.2
10.410.3
Auto3.5
Teleop5.3
End3.0
red by 2.7
2458
#27
9.10.6
5.15.8
Auto2.7
Teleop4.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
40%HAB Docking oddsEarned43%HAB Docking oddsEarned