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Red40
540120.9
223410.5
622621.7
Blue55
566611.8
397417.8
20318.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5545203040506070804055

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.71.2
18.517.3
Auto3.5
Teleop10.2
End8.0
red by 2.8
203
#14
18.91.0
17.618.6
Auto5.0
Teleop10.7
End3.2
Second
5401
#20
20.91.2
19.218.0
Auto5.4
Teleop12.0
End3.5
red by 3.1
17.81.0
16.617.6
Auto4.2
Teleop5.6
End8.0
Third
2234
#24
10.51.3
14.112.8
Auto1.6
Teleop4.3
End4.5
blue by 1.3
5666
#12
11.81.0
8.59.5
Auto4.5
Teleop5.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
56%HAB Docking oddsEarned45%HAB Docking oddsEarned