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Red33
428513.8
392911.8
69437.6
Blue54
437316.2
545713.0
31919.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3447102030405060703354

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4285
#18
13.80.0
12.712.8
Auto5.1
Teleop6.3
End2.4
blue by 5.9
319
#13
19.70.8
17.418.1
Auto3.7
Teleop12.5
End3.5
Second
3929
#31
11.80.0
11.211.2
Auto3.5
Teleop5.3
End3.0
blue by 4.5
4373
#21
16.20.8
16.016.8
Auto3.1
Teleop10.3
End2.8
Third
6943
#32
7.60.0
8.78.7
Auto2.5
Teleop2.5
End2.6
blue by 5.4
5457
#23
13.00.8
11.312.0
Auto3.1
Teleop7.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed