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Red91
22520.8
253926.5
209515.0
Blue51
272919.9
29315.1
116816.9
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6555304050607080909151

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.50.6
26.326.9
Auto3.8
Teleop14.5
End8.1
red by 6.6
2729
#12
19.90.1
19.819.7
Auto4.9
Teleop9.3
End5.7
Second
225
#16
20.80.6
20.621.2
Auto3.1
Teleop13.4
End4.3
red by 3.9
1168
#25
16.90.1
16.816.7
Auto3.3
Teleop12.0
End1.6
Third
2095
#14
15.00.6
14.815.4
Auto4.4
Teleop6.0
End4.6
blue by 0.1
293
#11
15.10.1
15.014.9
Auto4.7
Teleop6.6
End3.8