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Red70
29315.1
253926.5
201620.5
Blue51
540723.6
7529.9
149518.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5556405060707051

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.51.2
24.525.7
Auto3.8
Teleop14.5
End8.1
red by 2.9
5407
#19
23.60.1
24.624.5
Auto5.1
Teleop8.8
End9.7
Second
2016
#13
20.51.2
15.717.0
Auto4.3
Teleop11.0
End5.2
red by 1.8
1495
#20
18.70.1
16.616.5
Auto4.1
Teleop11.5
End3.1
Third
293
#11
15.11.2
11.612.8
Auto4.7
Teleop6.6
End3.8
red by 5.2
752
#30
9.90.2
11.911.6
Auto3.7
Teleop4.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
74%HAB Docking oddsEarned63%HAB Docking oddsEarned