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Red54
463713.8
540723.6
218017.6
Blue75
10326.0
434224.4
741417.2
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56703040506080905475

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5407
#19
23.60.1
21.521.6
Auto5.1
Teleop8.8
End9.7
blue by 2.5
103
#3
26.00.6
25.926.5
Auto3.3
Teleop14.1
End8.7
Second
2180
#26
17.60.1
17.017.1
Auto3.5
Teleop10.6
End3.5
blue by 6.9
24.40.6
24.324.8
Auto3.5
Teleop12.5
End8.5
Third
4637
#23
13.80.1
14.414.5
Auto3.2
Teleop7.3
End3.4
blue by 3.4
7414
#21
17.20.6
15.916.5
Auto2.8
Teleop10.7
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
88%HAB Docking oddsEarned91%HAB Docking oddsEarned