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Red48
74721.4
116816.9
787710.9
Blue35
253926.5
209515.0
75996.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46500204060804835

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
747
#5
21.40.2
16.716.8
Auto4.7
Teleop10.1
End6.6
blue by 5.1
26.50.8
25.724.9
Auto3.8
Teleop14.5
End8.1
Second
1168
#25
16.90.1
16.016.1
Auto3.3
Teleop12.0
End1.6
red by 1.9
2095
#14
15.00.8
12.211.4
Auto4.4
Teleop6.0
End4.6
Third
7877
#29
10.90.2
10.911.1
Auto3.6
Teleop4.5
End2.8
red by 4.4
7599
#31
6.41.3
9.27.8
Auto2.9
Teleop3.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed68%HAB Docking oddsMissed