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Red54
272919.9
223412.8
121822.6
Blue62
74721.4
32120.3
116816.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53582040801005462

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.60.6
17.717.1
Auto5.2
Teleop11.0
End6.4
red by 1.2
747
#5
21.40.8
19.320.0
Auto4.7
Teleop10.1
End6.6
Second
2729
#12
19.91.1
19.618.5
Auto4.9
Teleop9.3
End5.7
blue by 0.4
321
#22
20.30.8
19.119.9
Auto3.4
Teleop11.8
End5.1
Third
2234
#28
12.80.6
13.212.6
Auto2.8
Teleop5.6
End4.5
blue by 4.1
1168
#25
16.90.5
16.717.2
Auto3.3
Teleop12.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
57%HAB Docking oddsMissed33%HAB Docking oddsMissed