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Red75
29315.1
216830.3
434224.4
Blue51
787710.9
32120.3
540723.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions685730405080901007551

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.30.5
29.029.5
Auto5.4
Teleop19.4
End5.5
red by 6.7
5407
#19
23.60.2
21.821.5
Auto5.1
Teleop8.8
End9.7
Second
24.40.5
22.222.7
Auto3.5
Teleop12.5
End8.5
red by 4.2
321
#22
20.30.3
19.919.5
Auto3.4
Teleop11.8
End5.1
Third
293
#11
15.10.5
13.313.8
Auto4.7
Teleop6.6
End3.8
red by 4.2
7877
#29
10.90.3
12.612.3
Auto3.6
Teleop4.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
82%HAB Docking oddsEarned57%HAB Docking oddsEarned