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Red48
437315.3
463713.8
32120.3
Blue40
75996.4
741417.2
218017.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46430102030506070804840

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
321
#22
20.30.2
13.213.5
Auto3.4
Teleop11.8
End5.1
red by 2.7
2180
#26
17.60.0
16.716.7
Auto3.5
Teleop10.6
End3.5
Second
4373
#24
15.30.1
16.817.0
Auto3.8
Teleop8.5
End3.0
blue by 1.9
7414
#21
17.20.0
14.514.5
Auto2.8
Teleop10.7
End3.7
Third
4637
#23
13.80.2
13.013.2
Auto3.2
Teleop7.3
End3.4
red by 7.4
7599
#31
6.40.1
9.39.2
Auto2.9
Teleop3.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsEarned35%HAB Docking oddsMissed