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Red64
111116.4
121829.8
219113.4
Blue73
171225.2
540725.6
31622.2
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions637720401001206473

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.80.0
29.829.8
Auto5.0
Teleop17.2
End7.7
red by 4.3
25.60.0
25.625.6
Auto4.9
Teleop13.1
End7.6
Second
1111
#19
16.40.0
16.416.4
Auto3.8
Teleop10.9
End1.8
blue by 8.8
1712
#15
25.20.0
25.225.2
Auto3.3
Teleop16.7
End5.2
Third
2191
#20
13.40.0
13.413.4
Auto3.6
Teleop7.4
End2.4
blue by 8.8
316
#12
22.20.0
22.222.2
Auto5.7
Teleop13.6
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket odds4%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
46%HAB Docking odds78%HAB Docking odds