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Red67
632612.6
260729.7
121829.8
Blue57
31622.2
111116.4
741418.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions766120401006757

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.80.0
29.829.8
Auto5.0
Teleop17.2
End7.7
red by 7.6
316
#12
22.20.0
22.222.2
Auto5.7
Teleop13.6
End2.9
Second
29.70.0
29.729.7
Auto5.2
Teleop15.7
End8.8
red by 10.8
7414
#21
18.90.0
18.918.9
Auto3.6
Teleop12.2
End3.1
Third
6326
#27
12.60.0
12.612.6
Auto3.7
Teleop6.8
End2.1
blue by 3.8
1111
#19
16.40.0
16.416.4
Auto3.8
Teleop10.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
37%Rocket odds4%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
88%HAB Docking odds19%HAB Docking odds