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Red50
32125.3
219918.8
111116.4
Blue87
260729.7
540129.1
164031.1
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64952040801201405087

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
321
#11
25.30.0
25.325.3
Auto4.6
Teleop14.4
End6.2
blue by 5.7
31.10.0
31.131.1
Auto5.4
Teleop19.3
End6.4
Second
2199
#18
18.80.0
18.818.8
Auto2.8
Teleop10.1
End5.8
blue by 10.9
29.70.0
29.729.7
Auto5.2
Teleop15.7
End8.8
Third
1111
#19
16.40.0
16.416.4
Auto3.8
Teleop10.9
End1.8
blue by 12.7
29.10.0
29.129.1
Auto5.2
Teleop20.0
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket odds62%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
46%HAB Docking odds85%HAB Docking odds