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Red47
48420.5
164031.1
741418.9
Blue85
253930.6
27223.2
111116.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7574505560657080854785

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.10.0
31.131.1
Auto5.4
Teleop19.3
End6.4
red by 0.5
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto4.0
Teleop19.3
End7.3
Second
484
#26
20.50.0
20.520.5
Auto5.6
Teleop8.9
End6.1
blue by 2.7
272
#16
23.20.0
23.223.2
Auto3.8
Teleop14.0
End5.5
Third
7414
#21
18.90.0
18.918.9
Auto3.6
Teleop12.2
End3.1
red by 2.5
1111
#19
16.40.0
16.416.4
Auto3.8
Teleop10.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
7%Rocket odds6%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
59%HAB Docking odds68%HAB Docking odds