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Red44
103816.9
350421.4
99893.8
Blue27
99874.7
326016.1
11719.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4543102030405060704427

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.40.1
21.121.2
Auto5.5
Teleop5.8
End10.1
red by 1.7
117
#12
19.81.1
21.720.6
Auto4.3
Teleop11.6
End3.9
Second
16.90.1
16.917.0
Auto5.1
Teleop8.0
End3.8
red by 0.9
3260
#10
16.11.1
15.814.7
Auto5.2
Teleop9.4
End1.5
Third
9989
#14
3.80.2
4.34.5
Auto2.5
Teleop0.4
End0.9
blue by 0.9
9987
#21
4.71.9
3.41.6
Auto1.3
Teleop2.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
62%HAB Docking oddsEarned19%HAB Docking oddsMissed