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Red43
415025.7
705513.6
99869.2
Blue48
412114.7
426915.6
11719.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions485801001502004348

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.70.2
21.221.0
Auto3.8
Teleop17.6
End4.3
red by 6.0
117
#12
19.80.4
20.720.3
Auto4.3
Teleop11.6
End3.9
Second
7055
#20
13.60.2
15.415.2
Auto3.4
Teleop7.7
End2.4
blue by 2.1
15.60.4
16.816.4
Auto4.2
Teleop9.2
End2.2
Third
9986
#19
9.20.3
8.88.5
Auto2.2
Teleop4.4
End2.6
blue by 5.5
14.70.4
17.016.6
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed35%HAB Docking oddsMissed