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Red29
326016.1
99869.2
99856.8
Blue41
99874.7
261422.6
170817.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31390501001502941

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3260
#10
16.10.2
14.714.5
Auto5.2
Teleop9.4
End1.5
blue by 6.5
22.60.3
19.219.5
Auto3.4
Teleop12.1
End7.0
Second
9986
#19
9.20.4
7.47.0
Auto2.2
Teleop4.4
End2.6
blue by 8.4
1708
#18
17.60.3
16.116.4
Auto3.8
Teleop9.9
End3.9
Third
9985
#17
6.80.3
7.37.0
Auto1.8
Teleop3.1
End1.9
red by 2.1
9987
#21
4.70.5
1.62.0
Auto1.3
Teleop2.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed30%HAB Docking oddsMissed