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Red74
11719.8
301525.1
446714.5
Blue33
426915.6
99893.8
99874.7
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6022040801007433

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.10.8
24.024.7
Auto3.6
Teleop14.0
End7.5
red by 9.5
15.60.8
14.815.5
Auto4.2
Teleop9.2
End2.2
Second
117
#12
19.80.8
18.919.7
Auto4.3
Teleop11.6
End3.9
red by 15.1
9987
#21
4.71.2
4.55.7
Auto1.3
Teleop2.3
End1.1
Third
4467
#15
14.50.8
13.614.4
Auto4.4
Teleop8.0
End2.0
red by 10.7
9989
#14
3.81.2
2.03.2
Auto2.5
Teleop0.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
74%HAB Docking oddsMissed4%HAB Docking oddsMissed