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Red58
350421.4
261422.6
574014.3
Blue6
99893.8
170817.6
99869.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions604502080100120140586

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.60.1
18.418.4
Auto3.4
Teleop12.1
End7.0
red by 5.0
1708
#18
17.62.4
23.621.2
Auto3.8
Teleop9.9
End3.9
Second
21.40.1
20.720.8
Auto5.5
Teleop5.8
End10.1
red by 12.2
9986
#19
9.24.0
8.54.5
Auto2.2
Teleop4.4
End2.6
Third
5740
#13
14.30.1
17.918.0
Auto4.8
Teleop5.2
End4.3
red by 10.5
9989
#14
3.86.4
-0.36.1
Auto2.5
Teleop0.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
82%HAB Docking oddsEarned37%HAB Docking oddsMissed