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Red36
27217.3
43318.8
116813.6
Blue55
164020.1
434221.6
219111.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54573040506070803655

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
433
#4
18.80.3
19.118.8
Auto3.6
Teleop8.2
End7.0
blue by 2.8
21.60.1
21.721.6
Auto3.6
Teleop10.0
End8.0
Second
272
#12
17.30.4
17.617.3
Auto2.4
Teleop11.3
End3.5
blue by 2.9
1640
#27
20.10.1
20.220.1
Auto5.4
Teleop12.2
End2.5
Third
1168
#19
13.60.3
13.913.6
Auto3.2
Teleop8.3
End2.1
red by 2.0
2191
#29
11.50.1
11.611.5
Auto3.2
Teleop5.4
End3.0