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Red78
27217.3
43318.8
392915.2
Blue58
463815.8
139121.4
218015.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50542030406070807858

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
433
#4
18.80.6
17.618.2
Auto3.6
Teleop8.2
End7.0
blue by 2.6
21.40.1
20.820.9
Auto3.2
Teleop11.2
End7.0
Second
272
#12
17.30.7
15.916.6
Auto2.4
Teleop11.3
End3.5
red by 1.5
4638
#17
15.80.1
15.215.3
Auto2.9
Teleop8.9
End3.9
Third
3929
#21
15.20.6
13.714.3
Auto4.7
Teleop8.3
End2.2
blue by 0.2
2180
#11
15.40.1
14.814.9
Auto3.7
Teleop9.3
End2.4