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Red43
164020.1
434221.6
219111.5
Blue44
149516.7
48415.2
36519.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53553040506070804344

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.60.3
20.720.3
Auto3.6
Teleop10.0
End8.0
red by 2.3
365
#14
19.30.3
19.619.3
Auto4.7
Teleop9.7
End4.9
Second
1640
#27
20.10.3
19.319.0
Auto5.4
Teleop12.2
End2.5
red by 3.5
1495
#10
16.70.3
17.016.7
Auto4.1
Teleop9.9
End2.7
Third
2191
#29
11.50.3
10.710.4
Auto3.2
Teleop5.4
End3.0
blue by 3.7
484
#8
15.20.3
15.515.2
Auto5.2
Teleop5.9
End4.1