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Red31
219111.5
475010.6
392915.2
Blue41
181113.9
149516.7
36519.3
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404720305060703141

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3929
#21
15.20.4
13.012.5
Auto4.7
Teleop8.3
End2.2
blue by 4.1
365
#14
19.30.3
18.518.2
Auto4.7
Teleop9.7
End4.9
Second
2191
#29
11.50.7
12.511.8
Auto3.2
Teleop5.4
End3.0
blue by 5.1
1495
#10
16.70.3
14.113.7
Auto4.1
Teleop9.9
End2.7
Third
4750
#31
10.60.7
12.111.4
Auto3.9
Teleop4.4
End2.4
blue by 3.3
1811
#15
13.90.3
11.511.2
Auto5.7
Teleop7.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
35%HAB Docking oddsMissed23%HAB Docking oddsMissed