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Red50
181113.9
711012.1
445413.7
Blue29
27217.3
17917.3
48415.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413702060801005029

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1811
#15
13.91.0
11.212.1
Auto5.7
Teleop7.2
End1.0
blue by 3.4
272
#12
17.31.0
14.213.2
Auto2.4
Teleop11.3
End3.5
Second
4454
#13
13.70.6
12.913.5
Auto3.9
Teleop5.1
End4.8
blue by 1.5
484
#8
15.21.0
13.712.6
Auto5.2
Teleop5.9
End4.1
Third
7110
#20
12.11.0
14.315.3
Auto3.6
Teleop5.3
End3.2
red by 4.9
1791
#30
7.31.0
7.46.4
Auto1.0
Teleop2.6
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsEarned16%HAB Docking oddsMissed