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Red65
540722.2
511319.4
36519.3
Blue70
542022.6
137016.2
83422.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504610203040607080906570

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.21.9
17.619.5
Auto5.4
Teleop7.2
End9.6
blue by 0.4
22.62.6
16.118.7
Auto5.3
Teleop11.3
End6.0
Second
19.41.9
11.713.6
Auto5.0
Teleop10.2
End4.1
blue by 3.2
834
#7
22.62.6
17.820.4
Auto5.3
Teleop12.6
End4.6
Third
365
#14
19.31.9
18.220.1
Auto4.7
Teleop9.7
End4.9
red by 3.1
1370
#18
16.22.6
9.612.2
Auto3.4
Teleop9.7
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
32%HAB Docking oddsEarned30%HAB Docking oddsEarned