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Red34
4237.2
463815.8
34112.5
Blue37
27217.3
43318.8
218015.4
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4147203050603437

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4638
#17
15.80.6
16.816.2
Auto2.9
Teleop8.9
End3.9
blue by 3.0
433
#4
18.81.2
18.417.2
Auto3.6
Teleop8.2
End7.0
Second
341
#25
12.50.6
10.910.3
Auto5.1
Teleop7.1
End0.3
blue by 4.7
272
#12
17.31.2
13.212.0
Auto2.4
Teleop11.3
End3.5
Third
423
#32
7.20.6
11.410.8
Auto2.8
Teleop2.4
End2.0
blue by 8.2
2180
#11
15.41.2
13.212.0
Auto3.7
Teleop9.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed42%HAB Docking oddsMissed