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Red34
149516.7
27217.3
20411.6
Blue32
8711.9
48415.2
36519.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43452030405060703432

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
272
#12
17.30.7
14.613.9
Auto2.4
Teleop11.3
End3.5
blue by 2.0
365
#14
19.31.2
17.516.3
Auto4.7
Teleop9.7
End4.9
Second
1495
#10
16.70.7
13.512.8
Auto4.1
Teleop9.9
End2.7
red by 1.5
484
#8
15.21.2
13.712.6
Auto5.2
Teleop5.9
End4.1
Third
204
#22
11.60.7
12.311.6
Auto3.4
Teleop6.0
End2.3
blue by 0.3
87
#24
11.91.2
11.410.2
Auto3.5
Teleop6.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed29%HAB Docking oddsMissed