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Red33
218015.4
463815.8
445413.7
Blue60
434221.6
540423.7
43318.8
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions446320304050607080903360

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4638
#17
15.80.9
15.114.2
Auto2.9
Teleop8.9
End3.9
blue by 8.0
23.70.0
24.224.2
Auto5.8
Teleop9.8
End8.1
Second
2180
#11
15.40.9
12.511.5
Auto3.7
Teleop9.3
End2.4
blue by 6.2
21.60.0
17.217.2
Auto3.6
Teleop10.0
End8.0
Third
4454
#13
13.70.6
13.713.2
Auto3.9
Teleop5.1
End4.8
blue by 5.1
433
#4
18.80.0
18.618.6
Auto3.6
Teleop8.2
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
51%HAB Docking oddsMissed82%HAB Docking oddsEarned