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Red48
20411.6
392915.2
511319.4
Blue58
540423.7
83422.6
34112.5
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3455203040506070804858

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.41.7
13.515.2
Auto5.0
Teleop10.2
End4.1
blue by 4.3
23.70.3
24.224.5
Auto5.8
Teleop9.8
End8.1
Second
3929
#21
15.21.0
11.712.7
Auto4.7
Teleop8.3
End2.2
blue by 7.3
834
#7
22.60.3
18.719.0
Auto5.3
Teleop12.6
End4.6
Third
204
#22
11.61.6
7.38.9
Auto3.4
Teleop6.0
End2.3
blue by 0.9
341
#25
12.50.3
9.39.6
Auto5.1
Teleop7.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsEarned3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
8%HAB Docking oddsMissed38%HAB Docking oddsEarned