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Red42
542022.6
445413.7
31515.9
Blue59
149516.7
392915.2
137016.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464402060801004259

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.60.1
21.621.5
Auto5.3
Teleop11.3
End6.0
red by 5.9
1495
#10
16.71.6
16.017.7
Auto4.1
Teleop9.9
End2.7
Second
4454
#13
13.70.1
14.514.4
Auto3.9
Teleop5.1
End4.8
blue by 2.5
1370
#18
16.21.6
13.314.9
Auto3.4
Teleop9.7
End3.1
Third
3151
#26
5.90.2
7.47.3
Auto2.5
Teleop1.6
End1.8
blue by 9.3
3929
#21
15.21.1
12.713.8
Auto4.7
Teleop8.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
56%HAB Docking oddsEarned18%HAB Docking oddsMissed