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Red42
45759.8
36519.3
43318.8
Blue51
171218.1
511319.4
181113.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5648203040607080904251

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#14
19.31.0
23.022.0
Auto4.7
Teleop9.7
End4.9
blue by 0.1
19.40.5
17.317.8
Auto5.0
Teleop10.2
End4.1
Second
433
#4
18.81.0
19.017.9
Auto3.6
Teleop8.2
End7.0
red by 0.7
1712
#16
18.10.5
15.415.9
Auto3.5
Teleop12.6
End2.0
Third
4575
#23
9.81.1
10.79.6
Auto3.8
Teleop4.6
End1.4
blue by 4.1
1811
#15
13.90.5
13.113.6
Auto5.7
Teleop7.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsEarned12%HAB Docking oddsMissed