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Red42
31515.9
171218.1
27217.3
Blue32
4237.2
218015.4
511319.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424020253035455055604232

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1712
#16
18.10.5
15.715.2
Auto3.5
Teleop12.6
End2.0
blue by 1.3
19.40.7
11.911.3
Auto5.0
Teleop10.2
End4.1
Second
272
#12
17.30.5
13.913.5
Auto2.4
Teleop11.3
End3.5
red by 1.9
2180
#11
15.40.7
13.613.0
Auto3.7
Teleop9.3
End2.4
Third
3151
#26
5.90.5
10.610.1
Auto2.5
Teleop1.6
End1.8
blue by 1.3
423
#32
7.20.7
12.611.9
Auto2.8
Teleop2.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed31%HAB Docking oddsMissed