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Red43
542022.6
540423.7
45759.8
Blue57
27217.3
43318.8
392915.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60543040507080904357

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.70.3
24.023.7
Auto5.8
Teleop9.8
End8.1
red by 4.9
433
#4
18.80.1
19.019.1
Auto3.6
Teleop8.2
End7.0
Second
22.60.3
22.922.6
Auto5.3
Teleop11.3
End6.0
red by 5.3
272
#12
17.30.1
17.517.6
Auto2.4
Teleop11.3
End3.5
Third
4575
#23
9.80.3
10.29.8
Auto3.8
Teleop4.6
End1.4
blue by 5.4
3929
#21
15.20.1
15.115.2
Auto4.7
Teleop8.3
End2.2