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Red68
582728.0
448828.7
378611.6
Blue81
241221.9
406120.4
451320.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions696130405080906881

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.70.2
28.228.4
Auto5.7
Teleop14.7
End8.3
red by 6.8
2412
#54
21.91.3
21.222.5
Auto5.6
Teleop10.1
End6.2
Second
5827
#13
28.00.2
26.726.9
Auto3.9
Teleop15.2
End8.9
red by 7.2
4513
#42
20.81.3
20.021.3
Auto4.5
Teleop14.5
End1.8
Third
3786
#55
11.60.2
10.710.9
Auto5.1
Teleop3.4
End3.1
blue by 8.8
4061
#50
20.41.3
17.018.3
Auto5.1
Teleop12.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
12%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
98%HAB Docking oddsEarned34%HAB Docking oddsMissed